Twice as frequent over mountains
Reveals spatial distribution and surface thermal heterogeneity controls of convection initiation, providing a high-resolution benchmark for severe convective weather nowcasting.
Wei, Qian · Sun, Jianhua · Meng, Xianhong · Zhang, Yuanchun · Zheng, Linlin · Ma, Zheng
Atmospheric Research 2026
Mountains experience twice as many CIEs as plains even under weaker instability and vertical wind shear, indicating that terrain lifting or thermal heterogeneity can partly compensate for large-scale conditions.
A single peak in CI frequency occurs at noon (12:00–13:00 BJT) across all terrain types, coinciding with maximum thermal instability and highest initiation elevations, providing a precise timing reference for warnings.
Mountain CIEs typically occur in regions with higher soil moisture than surrounding areas and proximity to areas with enhanced surface heat fluxes, which can generate mesoscale thermal circulations favorable for initiation.