This study evaluates the navigability of the Northeast Arctic Route, finding that natural factors (sea ice) have a negative impact while economic factors and ice melting periods have a positive impact, with Russian energy exports having the greatest effect.
Xu, Lang · Jiacong, Huang · Fu, Shanshan · Chen, Jihong
Maritime Policy and Management 2024
Sample data: cargo volume from 2011 to 2021
Russian energy exports have a greater impact on shipping capacity than other variables
Yamal LNG project has a positive effect on the route, but cannot offset the negative impact of COVID-19